This is Part II of the the two part opinion piece on allegations by CORD of advance rigging of the March 4th general election by top government bureaucrats.
By: Rashid Wanjala
[wpsocialite]
And as you know one thing leads to another, the problem in 2007 was that the rigging blueprint did not unfold as projected.
And so as Raila’s lead continued to grow, one thing leads to another. In 2007, when things didn’t go as they had promised their masters, one thing led to another as they resorted to bloodshed, to contain the situation.
Malcolm X’s “By all means necessary†became the mantra that resulted in a middle of the night swearing in, and 1300 lives lost. End result is that Uhuru and Muthaura are now paying for their sins. Bensouda is breathing a life sentence down their necks.
Ruto and Sang, like I have always stated are just prisoners of war, as observed by another author- currently kidnapped by TNA- through threats by the custodians of ICC evidence.
Raila as president will ensure the four Kenyans’ trial is conducted locally.
Ruto and Sang  were on the side of the good pitted against the evil, defending a stolen presidency.They were fixed by PNU, now TNA bureaucrats like Gichangi of NSIS and Kimemia who control instruments of power out to get at them for supporting Raila in 2007.
Now that brings me to the TNA “one thing leads to another†analogy of criminology to explain TNA behavior and it is best explained through the story of if someone murders another, what do you do? You want to wash away the blood to erase evidence.
Then suddenly you discover CCTV cameras caught you in the act, then you destroy them.  As you destroy the cameras a watchman comes in and sees you destroying them- another crime, then because dead men don’t talk, you kill the watchman, then now you have 2 first degree murders to deal with.
 Then now you panic, and want to run away so you can say on the day of the crime you were in Nyeri and not Gatundu where the crime occurred. So a man gotta drive to get to Nyeri from Gatundu right? To drive you need a car.
You steal a car, from a woman driving by at gun point. Now you have a robbery with violence charge.
Then on the way to Nyeri, you find road-blocks, and you panic, thinking they are waiting for you and engage unsuspecting police in a shoot out. You leave your car and begin to run into the bush. And there now you become a fugitive. Then as you run, you feel hungry, and a man gotta eat, right. You enter a restaurant and eat, but then you don’t have money. You have to chonga waru……..it can go on and on.
Now one thing leads to another as you can see is the dangerous game that Jubilee in cahoots with the tripartite Government officials, led by Kimemia et al are playing by devising their Terrorist style blueprint OPERATION GRENADE ATTACK.
It has its roots in 2005, when Kibaki lost in the referendum. Those numbers were used to estimate the top-up necessary to give Kibaki a win. And so in 2007 they waited for all Raila precincts to be released. After that they started topping up, with turn out higher than registered voters in Central and Meru.
Juja is the best example whose 110% voter turnout was corroborated by Kiambu TNA gubernatorial aspirant, William Kabogo. Kabogo won the petition based on those numbers.
Then ICC came, and now you had Uhuru and Muthaura trying to cover up, by frustrating ICC investigators. The appointment of Githu Muigai was part of that cover up strategy. They also had a queer interest in the appointment of DPP. One thing leads to another.
Saitoti’s death is still unresolved mystery, of an Internal Security Minister Chairing a Cabinet sub-committee that was the link between Nairobi and The Hague. Its bee widely alleged and reported elsewhere that his ethnic background was complicating matters. One thing leads to another.
Fast Forward to 2007, and the ICC accused cannot afford to lose. With the international community breathing under their necks, all means necessary is their new mantra.
Uhuru must become president so he can cover up his tracks. One thing leads to another. Opinion polls show he is losing. We gotta create an impression that our man is winning, right? Hey come on Smart Octopus, cook the damn figures man! Ngunyi, I need your help, do some Tyranny of numbers. One thing leads to another, hang on, we ain’t done yet.
Smart Octopus is Uhuru’s franchise through Samuel Chege Thiari, a distant cousin.
Now because we must win, the OPERATION GRENADEÂ ATTACK as elucidated by this author in part 1Â and which borrows heavily from the 2007 script has been devised as a prequel to the rigging strategy they call TOP-UP. And it means exaggerating the numbers from TNA and a few pockets of URP strongholds, to seal any unassailable Raila lead.
But this time they are preceding it with what in military-speak is called PSYCH-OPS, short for Psychological Operation. This must have been the input of Gichangi, and Gen Karangi, themselves people of sound military background.
It entails preparing the public in advance about an impending operation by announcing propaganda using loudspeakers that a “war enemy†has been defeated, to engineer surrenders and to get the public to shift their allegiance from the enemy forces. The OPERATION GRENADE ATTACK rigging blue print has hallmarks of military operatives.
The propaganda in this case is that the election was won on Dec 18th when IEBC closed the voter register, The Tumekushashinda Initiative was sparked off by the Smart Octopus and consolidated by Ngunyi’s Tyranny of Numbers.  One thing leads to another.
As Kenyan taxpayers, Gichangi and Karangi be warned that they ought to be models of the society as is the military tradition world-wide and not set a bad precedent. Kenya isn’t a Junta. They should put Kenya before tribe. Kenya isn’t ready to be like Sani Abacha’s Nigeria.
Kibaki, these people are in your Command, Court Martial them for being a disgrace to Kenya’s Security Interests. Otherwise you have Command Responsibility.
So this is how the TNA one thing leads to another will ends, OPERATION GRENADE ATTACK will be implemented on March 4th. But the public is aware, then they will be exposed. And then it will feature at The Hague, in the week after elections.
Bensouda would have sharpened her arsenal of evidence. Kimemia, et al shall be held responsible for being part of a clandestine activity.
Then from Ocampo 4, add Bensouda 3 and you have 7 people at the Hague, and if Uhuru wins, it will be at the government expense. One thing leads to another as Sanctions are imposed, because there is not a way on earth that a sane human being can hand evidence against himself to ICC.
That would mean non-co-operation, and its consequences will follow. But the TEAM GRENADE ATTACK should be halted from making Kenya a failed state. This time, unlike 2007, Kenya will fry in its own fat like pork. Due to the architects of the Al-Shabaab style of OPERATION GRENADE ATTACK, Kenyans would have proved that they are fools, with very short memories.
You can read Part I of this here : https://www.kenya-today.com/opinion/election-rigging-claims-and-mutahi-ngunyis-tyranny-of-numbers
Joseph Riro says
porojo au ukweli? my gues is as good as yours.
Oyola David says
lol
William Makora says
OPERATION GRENADE ATTACK?
Victor Odangerz says
one thing leads to another theory………..
Jakoniango says
Kenyans are alert!
Kapten Raphael says
TO ALL CO-DEAD TAKE TIME TO READ THIS BEFORE MARCH 4.THIS MAY PREPARE YOU WELL # http://www.capitalfm.co.ke/eblog/2013/02/19/five-ways-to-honour-raila-after-he-loses-on-march-4/?fb_action_ids=268498799949671&fb_action_types=og.likes&fb_source=aggregation&fb_aggregation_id=288381481237582.
Kapten Raphael says
Five ways to honour Raila after he loses on March 4.IT PAINS BUT IT'S REALITY # http://www.capitalfm.co.ke/eblog/2013/02/19/five-ways-to-honour-raila-after-he-loses-on-march-4/?fb_action_ids=268498799949671&fb_action_types=og.likes&fb_source=aggregation&fb_aggregation_id=288381481237582.
Kapten Raphael says
Hahaaa.4 real Raila is gaining ground.from 51% first round 1 win to 44%.Uhuru is losing ground from 38% TO 44%. I SEE RAILA TAKING WHOLE OF R.VALLEY# READ THIS # http://www.kenyan-post.com/2013/02/raila-odingas-politics-in-rift-valley.html.
Anonymous says
Finally Mutahi Ngunyi thinks tht CORD will win, I want to see all those JUBILEE SYCOPHANTS who believe him before believe him now
“POLITICS IS ABOUT NUMBERS: READ
TO THE END AND YOU WILL AGREE
WITH ME.
There e has been an uproar about the recent projection of numbers I had made giving JUBILEE an advantage over CORD. Never in my political analysis have I been dismissed by the public like this time round: even getting killed in
facebook. I refuse to die. But I still insist that a political contest can
only be won on Numbers. With the assistance of other political analysts, we have done some more research on figures, and the general political mood on the ground from various regions in the
country. Lets look at this numbers from various regions:
CENTRAL- 2,190,476 VOTERS
NYANZA- 1,954,756 VOTERS WESTERN- 1,434,987- VOTERS
COAST – 1,640,083 VOTERS
N.EASTERN- 504,482 VOTERS
EASTERN – 2,092,883 VOTERS
RIFT VALLEY- 3,373,853 VOTERS
NAIROBI- 1,778,903 VOTERS It’s regrettable that most of us are
going to vote on the basis of tribal
orientation. For Jubilee they are
banking on central province, Rift
Valley , Nairobi and Easten for
Uhuruto to win the presidency. If they manage to galvanize these
regions they can easily win during
the first round. That is superficia but if you do a scratch on the numbers, they pose a more complicated puzzle for JUBILEE. Jubilee alliance should not comfort
themselves with the numbers from
the presumed strongholds.
Otherwise the figures might be
better for CORD than they look in
the Opinion polls. Let’s sample the traditional Nairobi, Eastern and Rift
Valley provinces which ought to give
JUBILEE to a first round win. Central
is purely uncontested for JUBILEE
like Nyanza is CORDED. What are
these numbers and where do they belong? I strongly consider the fact
and reality on the ground that most
Kenyans are likely to vote along and
through ethnic influence.
1. RIFT VALLEY
Elgeyo Marakwet- 134,290 Nandi – 254,788
Baringo- 171,013
Kericho- 290,102
Bomet – 254,405
(sub total 1,104,598 voters- jubilee
controlled) In these regions, William Ruto has a
superb command. There might be
little unfaithfuls from Kericho and
Bomet Towns which are somehow
cosmopolitan. The son of Moi might
also do some little spoils. Kajiado- 315,053
Narok- 253,086
Turkana-120,345
West Pokot- 107,894
Samburu- 56,662
Trans Nzoia- 231,352 Uasini Gishu- 318,717
Laikipia- 170,267
Nakuru- 695,879
(sub-total:2,269,255 – contestable
votes for CORD and JUBILEE )
In these regions JUBILEE can not confidently claim even a 60%
command: The Maasai Narok and
Kajiado not at any point have they
shown to be faithful followers of
William Ruto. They are more
inclined to ODM CORD. Samburu,West Pokot might be a
fifty fifty scoop for both CORD and
JUBILEE. Trans Nzoia is a home of
none. Luhyas, Kisii farmers and
kalenjin mix gives neither CORD nor
JUBILEE an edge. Nakuru is more cosmopolitan and if you scan the
register of Nakuru County, Kisiis,
Luhyas ,Akamba, Luos alone hit at
258,624 voters. From these counties
alone in Rift Valley, it shows that
JUBILEE doesn’t purely command the region. Two thirds of its votes
are for split.
If Raila gets 1million votes or
something close from Rift Valley, it
will be a nightmare for Jubilee. With
Raila’s schemes and political antics, he can cut through these numbers
which is practically possible. The
math of numbers might not work
for Jubilee in RIFT VALLEY with its
cosmopolitan nature.
2.NAIROBI : (1,778,903 voters) Now that elections will be held in
march, the IEBC calendar has
forced the village voters to vote
from the city as they wont be
travelling home for Christmas
holidays as they used. No wonder we had a voter registration turn out
of 138% in Nairobi. As per Register
scan Luos, Luhyas, Kambas and
Kisiis who are CORD inclined tally to
1,192,037 if they will be faithful to
their ethnic spirit like their village counterparts then they are likely to
vote for CORD. I hope JUBILEE are
aware of this variance in numbers.
There is no doubt RAILA will emerge
a winner from NAIROBI by 1M votes
plus. 3. EASTERN
Eastern has for long time been
supporting presidential candidates
from central under the GEMA
banner. Does JUBILEE count on the
same support? Can charity Ngilu deliver from KAMBA land?
Let me sample the numbers from all
the counties in EASTERN.
Makueni- 300,086
Machakos- 445,819
Kitui- 323,624 (sub-total:1,069,529) undisputed
CORD command.
Meru- 483,517
Isiolo- 52,617
Marsabit- 104,408
Embu- 226,989 Tharaka- 155,823
(Subtotal:1,023,354 voters)
Isiolo and Marsabit might be an
equal share or a slight win for
CORD.
Meru, Tharaka and Embu have been for long faithful in GEMA. With the
presence of William Ruto do they
have an upper hand in the jubilee
coalition? With these displacement
most voters especially the youth
might vote outside GEMA .The task of JUBILEE is to make this people to
feel still at home which has proven
difficulty especially to get Kiraitu
off his BUS and Join theJUBILEE
mainstream. Whom does JUBILEE
look upon to deliver these votes from this region for presidency ?
Kiraitu is very busy campaigning for
his gubernatorial cause. JUBILEE
might win from this region with a
very small margin which is far
below my previous projection. And this is a big minus for JUBILEE
coalition.
Jubilee would have won the
presidency if they had pure control
of EASTERN, NAIROBI AND RIFT
VALLEY . There is a big likelyhood for CORD
leading in COAST, EASTERN,
NAIROBI, WESTERN, NORTH
EASTERN AND NYANZA as opposed
to JUBILEE leading in RIFT VALLEY
AND CENTRAL only. RAILA might be a round one winner if he gets
1million votes from Rift valley
which is practically possible.
If RAILA doesn’t win during round
one, he will definitely win during
the run off on the basis that: -The HAGUE calendar will be very
active for UHURUTO
– some JUBILEE pointmen who are
trying to go against the grain, like
Prof. Ongeri, Balala, Mwakwele and
Ngilu would have fallen. And Jubilee will look a two tribe oufit.
– All the fallen presidential
candidates by Reason of Raila’s Age
with the assumption that he will be
a one term president, will pull their
weight behind Raila in the Name of salvaging the country from
economic sanctions. JUBILEE can
not withstand the euphoria.
I beg to leave as I take this
opportunity to congratulate in
advance the 4th president of the Republic of Kenya His Exellence
……………… Go and vote to proof or
disproof this.