True friends are offering to help. China remains the largest supplier of ammunitions to Al-Shabaab. 90% trading of goods by Al-Shabaab entails goods imported from China by the Al-Shabaab War-Lords. Like Tom Mboya and Jomo Kenyatta , 40 years ago, I choose to take the right decision, I am turning my back on the East. Your enemy’s friend cannot be your friend. My enemy’s friend is my friend.
Dozens of lives lost, this is not a joke, its a time to introspect everything, from our education system, to military training(move away from forest based to The David Petraeus Inspired 360 degrees style of military warfare and counter-insurgency), to our corruption based economy. Everything has to change. We took artilleries into the building, which isn’t what we needed but because, we are still holed up in that “forest war mentality”- a.ka Guerilla warfare of the 80s. 4 floors collapsed, thanks to our lack of “situational” adjustment. That was poor judgement.
Its time to start a new life. Kenya has to be born anew. The Westgate attack is a Hall Mark in Military History and a key lesson on counter insurgency. It was a refinement of the Mumbai attack, which also borrows heavily from the planning that preceded the raid on Osama Bin Laden, the media especially CNN has to now be responsible on how they report tactical elements which has been fodder that has improved the tactical skills of the insurgents.
The raid on Osama Bin Laden, its reported was preceded by months of planning by CIA, and when the seals attacked, they had rehearsed in a model Osama compound. All the information flowing in point to this strategy by the Insurgents. They knew their target, and they were focused. That’s a huge challenge to conventional warfare.
The Insurgents are blending their prowess, with the sophistication of mainstream militaries. And they seem to be laying emphasis on Special Operation Force, which requires a leaner but more skilled and efficient firepower.
And just like the US learned key lessons fro the Iraq War, Kenya too will rise from the ashes of this 4 day domination by a 13 man army, more powered and educated on the importance of evolution to deal with modern day challenges of warfare. Never before has the Kenyan security system required a more analytical security team.
Sospeter Otieno- Security Analyst