Kenya Today

Kenya News, analysis & in-depth reports

BASIC ANALYSIS: Raila’s Road to Statehouse, The Source of #10MillionStrong Votes

BASIC ANALYSIS: Raila’s Road to Statehouse, The Source of #10MillionStrong Votes

90 Comments


ROAD TO RAILA’S VICTORY Round One:
For starters the 2013 majority Kenyans (especially in Rift Valley and Mt Kenya) voted for Uhuruto just to rescue from the ICC. Now that ICC is buried Kenyans will now vote on issues and also tribe and that is why Bomet and the larger Meru are now battlegrounds.

NASA Stronghold (this even MamaNgina acknowledges).
1.Luhya-2.6m
2.Kamba-2.2m
3.Luo-2m
4.coast-1.8m
5.kisii-1m
TOTAL-9.6M

JUBILEE SURE BET!
1.Gema-2.8m
2.Kalenjin-2.3m
3.Embu/Mbeere+Meru)-1m
TOTAL-6.1M

BATTLE GROUND
1.Somali-1.4m
2.Maasai,Samburu,Turkana-1m

NOTE: Assume you gave jubilee half kamba votes and you deny NASA any kalenjin votes.on top of that give jubilee all somali votes and NASA all maasai votes the results is as follows:
NASA – 9.6M
JUBILEE – 8.5M

Now out of 2.3m kalenjine votes give NASA just half a million votes the results will be:
NASA:10.1M
Jubilee:8m

Now assume jubilee picks half a million votes from all NASA Strongholds the outcome is:
NASA-9.6
JUBILEE-8.5

Now assume NASA garners half a million votes outside its strong hold puting in mind that we gave jubilee half kamba votes the result is.
NASA-10.1M
JUBILEE-8M

FInally assume Jubilee only got half a million kamba votes the result is.
NASA:10.6M
JUBILEE:7.5M

Assume a70% voter turn out that is 13.3m.
NASA-55.78% (7.42M votes)
Jubilee-39.47% (5.26m votes)

Chebukati:Congratulations Raila odinga

Comments

  1. Almost all of whatever you state happens to be supprisingly legitimate and that makes me wonder the reason why I had not looked at this with this light before. This particular article truly did switch the light on for me as far as this particular issue goes. However at this time there is actually 1 point I am not too comfortable with and while I make an effort to reconcile that with the main idea of your point, allow me observe what all the rest of the visitors have to say.Nicely done.

    Reply

  2. Good post. I learn something more difficult on totally different blogs everyday. It’s going to at all times be stimulating to read content from other writers and follow a little one thing from their store. I’d choose to make use of some with the content on my blog whether or not you don’t mind. Natually I’ll give you a hyperlink on your web blog. Thanks for sharing.

    Reply

  6. I wanted to develop a note to appreciate you for all of the nice suggestions you are giving out on this website. My time intensive internet look up has at the end been honored with sensible facts and strategies to share with my contacts. I ‘d suppose that most of us site visitors are really fortunate to dwell in a fine network with so many brilliant people with good techniques. I feel very grateful to have encountered your entire web page and look forward to some more fabulous minutes reading here. Thanks a lot again for everything.

    Reply

  8. It is perfect time to make a few plans for the future and it’s time to be happy. I have read this post and if I may I want to recommend you some attention-grabbing things or suggestions. Perhaps you can write subsequent articles regarding this article. I want to read even more things approximately it!

    Reply

  10. My developer is trying to convince me to move to .net from PHP. I have always disliked the idea because of the costs. But he’s tryiong none the less. I’ve been using Movable-type on numerous websites for about a year and am nervous about switching to another platform. I have heard fantastic things about blogengine.net. Is there a way I can import all my wordpress content into it? Any kind of help would be really appreciated!

    Reply

  12. Thanks for another wonderful post. Where else may anybody get that type of info in such a perfect means of writing? I have a presentation next week, and I am on the search for such information.

    Reply

  13. Youre so awesome! I don’t expect Ive check out anything similar to this prior to. So good to discover someone with some initial ideas on this subject. realy thanks for beginning this up. this website is something that is needed online, a person with a little originality. helpful job for bringing something brand-new to the internet!

    Reply

  14. I simply desired to thank you very much yet again. I am not sure what I might have achieved without the entire tips shown by you directly on this field. Completely was a very depressing setting for me, however , taking a look at your specialised mode you managed it forced me to cry over contentment. I’m grateful for the support and thus wish you know what a powerful job you happen to be carrying out training people by way of your websites. I am certain you haven’t come across any of us.

    Reply

  16. Today, while I was at work, my cousin stole my iPad and tested to see if it can survive a thirty foot drop, just so she can be a youtube sensation. My iPad is now broken and she has 83 views. I know this is completely off topic but I had to share it with someone!

    Reply

  18. You really make it seem so easy together with your presentation however I in finding this matter to be actually something that I believe I would never understand. It sort of feels too complicated and extremely vast for me. I am having a look forward in your next publish, I’ll try to get the hold of it!

    Reply

  19. Do you have a spam issue on this blog; I also am a blogger, and I was wondering your situation; we have developed some nice practices and we are looking to swap solutions with others, please shoot me an e-mail if interested.

    Reply

  20. Greetings from Florida! I’m bored to death at work so I decided to check out your blog on my iphone during lunch break. I enjoy the info you present here and can’t wait to take a look when I get home. I’m amazed at how fast your blog loaded on my cell phone .. I’m not even using WIFI, just 3G .. Anyways, fantastic site!

    Reply

  24. In the great scheme of things you actually get an A+ just for effort and hard work. Where exactly you misplaced everybody was first in your details. You know, they say, details make or break the argument.. And that couldn’t be much more true right here. Having said that, let me say to you what did work. Your writing is definitely very convincing which is possibly why I am taking the effort in order to comment. I do not really make it a regular habit of doing that. Next, while I can certainly notice a jumps in reasoning you come up with, I am definitely not sure of just how you seem to unite your details that produce the conclusion. For right now I will, no doubt subscribe to your issue but wish in the near future you link your dots better.

    Reply

  25. Prepare to discover whenever possible about camping. Outdoor camping enables your family members to discuss inside a wonderful encounter. Given that you’re thinking of getting everything you can from the outdoor camping trip, take notice of the advice that follows. Should you be camping outdoors with a community camping area, make sure you package shower area shoes for all within your celebration. Not merely will they guard your feet through the bacteria on the bath surface, but they are great for these nighttime runs on the bushes when you need to use the restroom. They can be old turn flops, Crocs, as well as move-ons. Purchase a sleeping case which can suit the weather conditions you may be in. Delivering a sub-zero form of resting travelling bag to utilize on a trip in the summer could make you perspire the whole nighttime. The reverse can also be real. Utilizing a gentle, awesome sleeping case in the middle of wintertime could keep you extremely cool. Packaging the wrong resting products is obviously uncomfortable, and it may possibly grow to be hazardous. Keep the requirements of your family members in mind before selecting a spot. By way of example, in case you have an infant or kid, it can be wise to stay in close proximity to home in the event that things don’t go as planned. When you have teens, nevertheless, you may take pleasure in traveling to a different status. Choose what is the best for you! Make sure you use a emergency set along with you throughout your overall outdoor camping vacation. Your survival system must have water-purifying pills, a type of surviving knife, a first-aid kit, a flare weapon, and water resistant fits. These things are very important to obtain in case you get lost. Make sure you take it along whenever you depart your campsite. You need to now really feel motivated to plan an incredible camping out journey. No matter if your adventure is in your yard out again or some amazing locale, keep in mind suggestions you’ve just read. The enjoyment of camping will soon be something that you enjoy often.

    Reply

  28. Thanks for one’s marvelous posting! I actually enjoyed reading it, you might be a great author.I will make sure to bookmark your blog and may come back later in life. I want to encourage you to definitely continue your great posts, have a nice morning!

    Reply

  30. Usually I don’t read post on blogs, however I wish to say that this write-up very forced me to check out and do it! Your writing taste has been amazed me. Thanks, very nice article.

    Reply

  34. I haven¦t checked in here for some time because I thought it was getting boring, but the last several posts are great quality so I guess I will add you back to my everyday bloglist. You deserve it my friend :)

    Reply

  36. I was really pleased to locate this web-site. I wanted to many thanks for your time for this remarkable read!! I certainly enjoying every little bit of it and I have you bookmarked to have a look at new things you blog post.

    Reply

  39. Hi, i could not resist commenting. Your blog post is very well written. I would suggest you to write more articles like this. if you are looking fot the best pulse oximeter for home use that is pretty cheap with all features check out my website.

    Reply

  41. Hi, i could not resist commenting. Your blog post is very well written. I would suggest you to write more articles like this. if you are looking fot the best pulse oximeter for home use that is pretty cheap with all features check out my website.

    Reply

  42. Having read this I thought it was very informative. I appreciate you taking the time and effort to put this article together. I once again find myself spending way to much time both reading and commenting. But so what, it was still worth it!

    Reply

  45. Hey there would you mind letting me know which web host you’re working with? I’ve loaded your blog in 3 different internet browsers and I must say this blog loads a lot quicker then most. Can you recommend a good internet hosting provider at a fair price? Thanks a lot, I appreciate it!

    Reply

  47. Hello there! This blog post could not be written any better! Going through this article reminds me of my previous roommate! He always kept talking about this. I will send this article to him. Pretty sure he’s going to have a very good read. I appreciate you for sharing!

    Reply

  48. I’m really impressed with your writing skills as well as with the layout on your weblog. Is this a paid theme or did you customize it yourself? Either way keep up the excellent quality writing, it is rare to see a great blog like this one these days..

    Reply

  56. Utilizamos aparatos de control de última tecnología en todas nuestras piezas siguiendo un riguroso control de calidad antes de ser expedidas. Las clases de nivel intermedio se enfocan en la configuración del torno paralelo y de la fresadora e instruyen cómo llevar a cabo una variedad de operaciones de corte en piezas de muestra.

    Reply

  60. If you value the great outside, mother nature, and also the scent of outside air, practically nothing will make you happy greater than a nice camping journey. But, there is something you need to know about outdoor camping before heading on the vacation. This short article will provide you with the greatest camping ideas close to. Take a big trash can bag for dirtied laundry, while keeping it in a central location, appropriate for anyone within your party. Allow them to package their clothing separately, as this will make it much easier to locate than when you stack it all in a group storing container or bag. Chuck inside a clothes dryer page for any bag you want smelling new. When you are camping outdoors, essential for your gear is a survival knife. This is an essential element of your camping gear. Purchase an exceptional success knife, not simply the cheapest you will discover, your way of life might depend on it. These knives are common very related these people have a long blade serrated on one side along with a hollow deal with. Within the deal with it is possible to have sport fishing line, hooks, a compass, and fits as a modest survival set. A significant oversight that outdoorsmen make is because they will receive lost occasionally. Do not let this eventually you. When you are unfamiliar with the region you might be outdoor camping in or if you are inside a forests region, tend not to stray too much through your campsite. A portable GPS is a great expenditure if you are planning just about any forests camping outdoors journey. For those who have a kid, pack a quilt. You can lay it on the ground and use it as being a makeshift engage in region. Take vehicles, dolls, or no matter what goods your child is into. They could engage in without having acquiring too filthy and you may instruct them that they need to always keep their games on the quilt for safekeeping. This helps to help keep issues from getting as well distributed. Camping is an excellent encounter that anyone can get involved with. As we discussed, camping outdoors is a great journey that could be fun and exciting for the complete household. In the event you employ the following tips, you will be able to make sure a prosperous adventure that your particular entire loved ones likes.

    Reply

  65. Heading camping outdoors? In planning for it, do you have totally well prepared your self for the purpose may well come up while you are out in the outdoors? It may look simple, but it is required to keep yourself well prepared ahead of time. Look at the adhering to suggestions for preparing and undertaking a fantastic trip. When loading for your personal camping out journey, ensure that you package possibly a set of flick flops or h2o footwear. These will be handy in and round the camping area. As an illustration, in case you are residing in a camping area which includes restroom amenities so you intend on taking a shower, you need to use shoes or boots in the shower to safeguard your feet from feet fungi. Drinking water is essential when camping outdoors. When outdoor camping at a campground, there should be ample source of h2o offered, but in the pathway, you will need to hold some along with you. If you are going lengthy ranges, you need to probably hold iodine tablets to clean any water you discover prior to ingesting. Be cautious, dysentery may be lethal. Just before making, acquire a few momemts to produce a listing of everything that you require. There is nothing at all more serious than progressing to a campsite after which learning that you don’t have what you should be comfortable. A listing is an excellent aid when you are packaging. Attempt to start getting thing’s collectively a few days before leaving so you have plenty of time. If you’re unfamiliar with camping, you’re going to wish to appear earlier towards the camping area. The explanation for this is certainly you may be unfamiliar with the camping area site and rules, and will also gradual you down. You don’t desire to be caught setting up camp out at night, so just show up a little bit sooner than you typically would. Now you know what it takes to have a good camping out trip prepare for a lot of exciting escapades into the future. Use exactly what you acquired today about camping to savor your self with a great time away from your normal regimen of lifestyle, as well as have an encounter you’ll always bear in mind.

    Reply

  67. Many people are hesitant to try out camping outdoors for many different motives. For several, this is basically the anxiety about the unfamiliar. For other individuals, thinking about slumbering in the open air is a touch frightening. If you’ve been reluctant to go camping outdoors, worry not. This article beneath has got the recommendations your want to make your trip a hit. Do a lot of analysis on the camping out web site and be sure that it provides anything that your group will need. Look at the specific demands of each camper to ensure that everybody is looked after. This alleviates the requirement to make supply operates, or worst case, need to stop the trip too soon. When you are getting for your campsite, take your family members on a walk. Especially, for those who have youngsters, everybody will require an opportunity to expand their hip and legs after getting out of the vehicle. The hike will be a good chance to obtain everybody pumped up about the trip and linked to the outdoors. When heading camping outdoors, try and purchase no-perishable items to consume. You will find no refrigerators within the wild, so all you provide should be saved in good purchase. You may definitely provide a much cooler to place foods in, although the cooler is going to be included large on your own vacation. Consequently, try to bring a lot more no-perishable food products than perishable. Usually have a totally supplied first-assist system once you business out on a outdoor camping trip. You can created your own personal system with bandages, gauze pads, tweezers, scissors, anti germs lotion and germ killing baby wipes inside a durable container. You can even buy among the many exceptional all set-made systems to conserve time. When you find yourself going out for this long anticipated camping trip, don’t forget to adopt together your cellular phone. You might be influenced to depart each of the text messaging and phone calls right behind, yet your cell phone can be one of your most significant safety lifelines in case of an urgent situation. Make sure it is totally billed whilst keeping it protected against the elements in a plastic-type travelling bag or water resistant case. The very next time you want to carry on a camping out vacation, don’t be fooled by each of the advertising and sales lingo by merchants and firms. Don’t be suckered into going broke in order to purchase outdoor camping products. Take advantage of this post to get the reliable and affordable camping outdoors equipment you need enjoy yourself.

    Reply

  72. Whats Going down i am new to this, I stumbled upon this I’ve discovered It absolutely helpful and it has helped me out loads. I hope to contribute & help other users like its aided me. Great job.

    Reply

  76. I just want to say I am very new to blogs and truly savored you’re web site. More than likely I’m likely to bookmark your website . You amazingly come with superb articles and reviews. Regards for sharing your webpage.

    Reply

  84. I blog often and I genuinely thank you for your content.This great article has really peaked my interest.I’m going to take a note of your website and keep checking for new details aboutonce per week. I subscribed to your RSS feed as well.

    Reply

  90. I just want to say I am very new to blogs and truly savored you’re web site. More than likely I’m likely to bookmark your website . You amazingly come with superb articles and reviews. Regards for sharing your webpage.

    Reply

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

Disclaimer

Privacy and cookies