The net is recently awash with debate by enthusiastic ODM supporters who hope that the Feb 28 elections will usher in the changes that they yearn for. But they want fast change, which has always been a recipe for disaster even in corporate circles.
Change Management guru and Harvard Business School Prof. John Kotter, he of the seamless 8 Step Change Process says change should be slow; don’t move too fast on changing institutions. And while itâ€™s possible to execute change fast, slow incremental changes hold fast; Robert Green in his 48 Laws of Power which borrows heavily from Niccolo Machiavelli’s “The Prince” corroborates this fact when he also cautions “Princes” to tread carefully with speed of executing change…..
In fact Robert Green’s 48 Laws of Power asks you to pretend as though you intend to retain the status quo- principles which Raila when he gave Maina Njenga 2 books 48 Laws and The Prince said he derives great inspiration from; which in essence means he is a Machiavellian.. managing change like ODM obviously needs should not be executed recklessly….it canâ€™t happen in a day….the journey to generational change in Central began in 2002, which means Nyanza has begun it now, and will materialize probably in 2022.
So if Raila is a true Machiavellian, then the team that comes out of Kasarani or Kisirani if u like will comprise both the old recycled and young digital, and being a Machiavellian he wants a team that’s user friendly.
Recently ODM named the team that will mange ODM elections, and that line up of elections Board comprising Pareno, Misoi et al, is user friendly, and will most likely deliver An ODM “crafted line-up… “.
I know that worries you that ODM may lose in 2017 because of these dictatorial tendencies, but to a Prince, its either u win all or u lose all….if Raila were to romp to State House with his loyalist praise singer crowd, he would be able to direct his team in a single cohesive unit- a platoon like formation, towards the delivery of his own agenda, “if he has any”.. a team that turns right or left when he commands them to.
And so depending on the loyal team Jakom rams down the throats of delegates at Kasarani, going forward ODM will depend on his own vision, dreams and aspirations. Moi attempted to hand Kenyans his own puppet in 2002, with his praise singer loyalists in tow, but he “lost all”.. had he won, Moi would have continued to hold sway in government, long after he had left power… but he took the risk anyway.
Power politics behooves us to take risks that if successful then the end point would be a state in which we shine and in which ours would be unrivaled, unquestionable decrees…… how successful that makes you depends on the quality and clarity of your vision and mission and how u communicate it to your team of loyalists- the praise singers….
You can imagine where Kim Jong’ Un can take North Korea if he meant well and was progressive- unprecedented growth like we experience in Rwanda which recently recorded an impressive 14% growth…and so u can imagine where Raila can take ODM with a loyal team in his line-up if he meant well and had a vision for the party….to landslide victory in 2017. Raila is going to war, and he needs a team that can withstand the rigors of â€œsurvival for the fittestâ€. Obura, Otieno Dalmas et al have already fallen by the wayside.
My experience is that you donâ€™t need a very large team to succeed, you just need a lean but efficient, effective, loyal and committed team. A team without folks in its ranks who sing baba by day, but hold night meetings with Ruto and Uhuru by night, people who eat with the government, but show up with that money as Harambee money.
People committed to aligning Nyanza- the only remaining and committed and unwavering bastion of the Left- with the right. Feb 28 is about saving Nyanza from being hijacked by those intent on making Nyanza fear being left out of government in every election instead of fighting for development without any preconditions attached, as enshrined in the constitution, regardless of how people vote.