By Antony Oyugi
LESSONS FROM SOUTH AFRICA
With over 75% of votes in, we can project that ANC has won this one followed by DA and EFF. The parties will get about 57%, 24% and 10% respectively.
A few lessons to Kenyan politicians especially those seeking the Presidency….
RAILA ODINGA
Raila Amollo Odinga may make another stab at the Presidency and needs to learn something from this election. Raila leads the largest and most popular party in the country. He also has the tag of a liberator. I would compare his party ODM to ANC. They’re twins. What’s happening to ANC is that it’s losing grip. It’s support base is disappearing albeit slowly. The party is going below 60%. Twenty five years ago, it got over 70% of the votes.
What’s the cause of the decline in support and who’s benefitting from it? The cause is a myriad of factors including allegations of corruption both at the national and party level. There’s also this issue about some people bring perceived as the owners of the party while others are outsiders. Such and other factors are disenfranchizing the party’s support base. The party needs to also come up with a new message. We’re post Robben Island. The young leaders in the party also need to be encouraged and supported by the ‘elders’. There’s a feeling by the restless young population that the party is slow in addressing issues. That’s why EFF was formed. Malema and others felt the elders weren’t serious. As ANC declines, EFF is rising. For a party that’s barely 5 years old, 10% in South African terms is commendable considering you’re eating into a behemoth’s numbers.
All these problems facing ANC are mirrored in ODM. Change is necessary.
WILLIAM RUTO
He needs to learn about political messaging from EFF and Julius Malema in particular. Package your message around one thing, be clear and consistent about it. EFF is clear about land and equality. In as much as their message is radical, they don’t shy away from preaching it.
Malema just like Ruto is a hustler. He doesn’t belong to royalty. The difference between him and Ruto is that he doesn’t use it as a campaign tool and doesn’t shout about it.
The EFF and Malema didn’t focus on discussing individuals especially President Ramaphosa or the DA candidate. Focus was on issues
MUSALIA AND KALONZO
You’re the DA in our context. Many of us still don’t understand what you stand for. You seek to please everybody thereby leaving us confused. Stand for something and put your message across.
TO THE YOUTH
EFF is basically a party for the youth but they didn’t delve on this as a selling point. Unlike our youthful politicians they didn’t talk about wazee wakae kando. They focused on policy issues.
Let’s learn!
Anonymous says
wazee wakae kando……2022
Anonymous says
Kiuks can support Ruto come 2022…..but afraid of blunder GG Kariuki,C .njonjo did to support a person called mo1 that caused havoc and downspiral of kenya economy, massive ufisadi ,suffering etc
So Ruto assure Kenyans you will not b another mo1 or uhurru that destroyed kenya…
Anonymous says
…Dp. Ruto ought to be assuring Kenyans that come 2022 he will serve without favour or oppressing others…..and will not be different and will create wealth jobs etc and not like failures,wafisadi mo1 (24 yrs za kilio) and uhuurru(7yrs ya kilio na wizi hyper)….
Anonymous says
DP Ruto is focused on trampling on RAILA ODINGA and Luo community in order to galvanized his supporters base! He has no message that would entice those in the Luo community who do not particularly support Raila Odinga and ODM to want to vote for him!!
Willam Ruto has no message except passionate (a) defense for corruption, a scourge that is burying the Kenyan population alive (b) tribal divisions in which he Luos must further be marginalized due to loathsome attitude towards Raila Odinga! He is 100% in defense foreign looters whose interests are well served by tribal divisions in Sub-Saharan Africa because foreign looting is lucrative wherever there exist tribal strife and chaos!
I am not a supporter of Raila Odinga, but I have never heard Raila stand on a stage and overtly demonizing the ordinary and powerless Kenyan citizens from the other tribal groups the way DP William Ruto does with the powerless Luos, the community that has been marginalized since 1966 Limuru Conference!
DP Ruto hopes to get to the presidency of Kenya by permanently burring the Luos underground. This is scary because he has a track record of doing just that!!
Julius Malema is an African who is no ashamed of being a black African and defending ; Ruto is tribalist:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpIcwctC7nQ
Many African leaders kiss foreign butts! That is why their populations are being buried in massive debts and poverty while their vast resources are looted for free!!!
Anonymous says
ehhhhh,,,,,,siasa ya kileweke na mlevi prezo siasa ya zamani….na haina faida kwa kikuyus na wakenya…since are hungry..sickly….and no amount of talk against Ruto will succeced………hustlers and poor people will vote for him……..
Anonymous says
The candidate who will carry the day is the one our security forces or the power that be will support. Since 2007 the powers that be have perfected their rigging machinery by using the intelligence unit and the security apparatus who run the secretariat in IEBC. They have come to know that a Kenyan populace has become wiser and they need nothing short of the truth. In 2007 Kenyans fought because they knew that their votes had been shortchanged whereby the purported winner was sworn in at night. That was a great lesson to the powers that be hence the heavy deployment of the security forces in opposition area during an election. They do not want to face the truth but claim that a particular community was the target but the reality is that they do not want any persons from any other part of the country to rule and unfortunately others have been blinded..If Ruto has to rule, he has to accept to dance as per their wishes. Railla shall never be allowed because he looks too wise to be trusted. Therefor the Bullet has remained as the pillar to put the opposition at bay, It is an instrument that the ruling coalition has an advantage over the opposition. We shall always go to the poll just as a window dressing exercise. Has one asked himself why the electronic devises fail during an election. Has one asked himself why the votes are not counted at the station were they are cast. Has one asked himself why the cs of internal security plays a pivoted role during an election. The killing of baby Pendo was just a tip of the ice burg. Visit places such as Mathare Kawangware Kibera and here of horrid unpublished stories.
Handshake supporter says
Good lessons can be learnt but what is more crucial is .. The student must be bright enough also to comprehend the current environment to succeed
ODM has lost it completely
It cannot be salvaged
I was once an ardent supporter but now , no more
Note ,
1) they should have fought to have workable structures like shadow ministers who are serious people to check the government robustly and properly
Making noise and demonstrating shows lack of capacity in tackling important issues.
At the end of the day ,we lost faith in that party
2) ODM Governors /Mps/MCAs should have been the role model in terms of good management of resources they get from government for real value in service delivery
Terrible situation such that they cannot claim the government is corrupt yet they are neck high deap in the mallaise
The same taintedv DOM officials still calling the shorts
Whenever it rains Nairobi floods including the city centre
I have never seen ODM party sit with Governor Sonko and propose a workable tructure
to rebuilt the drainage system in whole Nairobi so is Mombasa
Nairobi is the face of Kenya and Africa
3) ODM failed to appeal to the masses ,the youth,unemployed ,the watchmen,the cooks ,the drivers ,the students etc
They had a good opportunity to make things work
Cannot compare Julius Malema with what is happening in Kenya
Consistency, honesty and having strong party structures lacking
4) Since hand shake took effect ,DOM has failed big time
Lost opportunities
Why not bring a bill in parliament to strengthen the criminal justice system in kenya and strungle the corrupt properly
Make it rock solid like in China
There is nothing like corruption ,it just pure theft/stealing of public funds
Hang the suspects immediately to avoid time wasting in courts ,time frame of 30 days to go through the cases to finality , all the assets of the suspect (whether acquired genuinely or not ) must be auctioned to the state .
Make it 1000 times more painful to steal anything .
With hand shake now in place, the numbers in parliament can be mobilised to pass this crucial laws in record time
Pls help help the president fight this corruption manace the Chinese way
If we want to help Uhuru have a legacy ,we must support him 1000% by creating strong structures through parliament
So ODM cannot salvage itself let alone Kenya , maybe a new party with proper structures and new leaders (not recycled characters ) may attempt to change the situation
Handshake supporter says
For sure BABA has done his best to set up a good party.
We thank him a lot for that
His students failed him big time thus unless a mirracle happens, we cannot leave BABA alone to change it
He needs new young bright students
Anonymous says
kenya elections will be dynsties verses Common man/hustlers.
Dynsaties benefited from indepedence and calling others names yet their dads stole…screwed kenya and kenyans.
Look mo1 f*cked kenya..kenyans for 24yrs……nothing was working by the time he left….economy was minus growtg when he left office……taxes collected were 200b and increased 5folds after Mzee Prezo Kibaki took over…….supringly stupud guys visit him for fake guidance..
Now the s*lly drank at helm is in panic mode…since cannot turn the tide against him in his own backyard since everyone is in poorer state from time he took over wih fake promises …corruption and impunity is real and even his family..himself is in mix……….
wakenya tunasema dynasties out…..
Anonymous says
In short Dp. WSR will be Prezo come 2022.
Only need to pick a good running mate.
Anonymous says
Yes….in short Dp. WSR is not only front runner but will be Prezo come 2022.
Only need to pick a good running mate.
Anonymous says
surely why visit failure for advise…..24yrs was wasted…..this was time to build super highway….sgr etc….but was eating time for moi and kalenjins…
Anonymous says
UNLESS HE HAS THE FULL BACKING OF FOREIGN INTERESTS WHO EXPLOIT KENYAN RESOURCES, WHY WOULD THE DP RUTO AND HIS SUPPORTERS BE ABSOLUTELY SURE HE WILL BE THE NEXT KENYAN PRESIDENT?IN 2022?
WHAT EXACTLY HAS WILLIAM RUTO ACCOMPLISHED, OTHER THAN HIS PENCHANT FOR COVERTLY BRUTALIZING/KILLING OF KENYANS??
THIS PASSION FOR BRUTALITY HAS MADE DP RUTO VERY ATTRACTIVE TO THE FOREIGN EXPLOITERS OF THE KENYA PUBLIC RESOURCES! AND RUTO WILL DISPOSE OF THESE PUBLIC RESOURCES WITH GUSTO!
HE DOES NOT EVEN DISCUSS WHY HE IS A BETTER CANDIDATE THAN ANYBODY ELSE EXCEPT PROMOTE FOREIGN INDUCED CORRUPTION IN EXCHANGE FOR BRIBES TO ENRICH HIMSELF AND HIS FRIENDS!
You will hardly find family of animals brutalizing or killing its own to protect a different kind of animal!!!
Anonymous says
EVERY BRANCH OF THE KENYAN GOVERNMENT, INCLUDING THE COUNTIES, ARE UNDER TOTAL CONTROL OF THIEVES OR AGENTS WORKING AT THEIR DIRECTION THESE THIEVES IN EXCHANGE
FOR KICKBACKS!
POLITICAL PARTY ELITES ARE PARTS OF THE SYSTEM!
THIEVES CANNOT BE IN CHARGE OF SOLVING CORRUPTION AND STEALING PUBLIC RESOURCES IN KENYA BECAUSE THEY STAND TO LOSE WHAT THEY HAVE ACCUMULATED ! IT WILL NOT WORK!
Anonymous says
ati security forces will decide 2022……never.
they did not in 2002 yet were with old failed prezo for 24yrs…..
which security……you cannot sleep without alarms……..or car and shops without watchmen…..is this security one thick head is writing about
Anonymous says
woi….can this cheap,greedy leaders that have ruled us from 1963 and who have traveled tell kenyans why ..one can walk even at night in many big cities outside Kenya and no one will touch you….and no one is guarding shops etc……cars for sales are parked outside…………why not in kenya…
Anonymous says
…..Kalenjins it is your turn to lead 254 comes 2022…..your best bet is DP. RUTO as he has what it takes to be Prezo,intelligent ,with vision,known by many commoners outside RV and has many friends outside RV who are ready to support and work with him.
Anonymous says
The Kalenjins were in power, looting and auctioning public resources to foreign interests for 24-years!
DP RUTO has been looting, blackmailing, intimidating and killing Kenyans since his YK’92 days!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wEYIauUq6tc
YK’92 was an DEATH SQUAD in Kenya!
Xaviour says
The critical lesson from the South Africa election is that younger generation, who have less attachment to the history of the ANC, stayed away from the ballot in droves. Millions of the so-called “born frees” didn’t even bother to register to vote. Though low youth turnout is a global phenomenon, the many young people in South Africa feel they have valid reasons not to vote. They say democracy hasn’t lived up to its promise and around 50% of young South Africans don’t have jobs.
How do we prevent this from happening in Kenya?